Top-tier freeze and outer-Gyeonggi rotation: autumn 2026 volume record
Organizes the autumn 2026 record of plunging top-tier Seoul apartment deals and spreading outer-area and Gyeonggi gains, to read alongside the video's volume signals and price-band rotation thesis.
Updated Oct 27, 2026
Top-tier deals freeze
MOLIT's real-transaction disclosure shows 151 apartment deals in Yongsan and Mapo in 2026-08, down 31.7% from 221 in 2026-07. Yongsan fell 46.5% from 71 to 38 deals, with the above 30 eok won tier plunging 61.1% from 18 to 7, while Mapo fell 24.7% from 150 to 113, with the above 30 eok won tier going from 1 to 0. Month 8 figures are preliminary and may rise before the reporting deadline. Over the same period the Korea Real Estate Board index still rose 0.02% in Yongsan and 0.06% in Mapo, splitting prices from deals. In the week of 2026-09-07 Seoul's weekly sale prices rose 0.20%, slowing for 2 straight weeks, with Gangnam down -0.35% and Seocho down -0.30% for 5 straight weeks and Songpa turning to -0.02%.
Outer areas and Gyeonggi gains spread
A KB survey showed outer areas leading gains over 2026-08. Nowon rose 2.32%, Jungnang 2.20%, Dobong 1.95%, Seongbuk 1.93% and Gangbuk 1.90%, all above the Seoul average of 1.13%, while Gyeonggi stood out in Suwon Yeongtong at 4.30%, Anyang Dongan at 2.75%, Gwangmyeong at 2.73% and Hwaseong Byeongjeom at 2.71%. Weekly gains in the week of 2026-09-07 were also led by the north and small-to-mid sized stock at 0.46% in Gangbuk, 0.43% in Dobong and 0.42% in Seodaemun. The Korea Housing Industry Institute's 2026-10-20 survey put the metropolitan housing business outlook at 100.2, back above the baseline in 3 months after 101.6 in 2026-07, 86.1 in 2026-08 and 89.2 in 2026-09. Its 2026-01 developer survey had Gyeonggi rising from 69.7 through 71.4 to 88.2, with the institute citing expectations of core-area gains spreading outward.
Monthly-rent shift and supply shortage
Seoul Real Estate Information Plaza data shows 87,740 monthly-rent deals against 84,287 jeonse deals from 2026-01 through 2026-09, putting the monthly-rent share at 51.0%. No annual share has topped half since statistics began in 2011, against 44.5% for full 2025. The Korea Real Estate Board survey had 2026-09 Seoul apartment rents averaging 1.661 million won, up from 1.443 million 1 year earlier, with the median rising from 1.2 million to 1.4 million won. The same article flags the gap between expectations and supply reality, with actual groundbreaking and new contracts falling.
Reading it with the video's volume signals
The pattern of deals drying up first at the top while outer areas and Gyeonggi rise runs the same way as the video's sequence. It also fits the method of watching volume over price and checking upper-district listings first. But this record does not verify the video's 7 eok won band entry call or its southern Gyeonggi gain figures. Deal counts are preliminary, and policy shocks mix with rotation flows, so no single signal settles it.
Limits
KB surveys and the Real Estate Board weekly index are built differently, so their figures cannot be spliced directly. Builder outlook indices read developer sentiment, with below 100 meaning more negative views, not a price forecast. Gyeonggi figures are metro-wide and do not map onto the video's price bands. Past rotations do not guarantee the next up-leg, and outer areas need separate checks of move-in and unsold data.
Sources
- Transaction Slowdown Spreads Beyond Gangnam as Yongsan and Mapo See 32% DropAccessed Oct 27, 2026
- Gangnam Prices Decline While Outer Areas Surge: Seoul's Housing Market ShiftAccessed Oct 27, 2026
- Gangnam Small Apartments See Record Prices Amid Falling Home Values in SeoulAccessed Oct 27, 2026
- Apartment Sales Outlook Improves Despite Regulations, Seoul Index ReboundsAccessed Oct 27, 2026