Hanwha wins its first US naval ship order: Korean shipbuilding enters the US market—can shipbuilding stocks be bought now? — Eom Kyung-ah, Shinyoung Securities research fellow
An independent exercise, not a statement by the video creator or verification of every claim in the video.
The same LNG export volume can require different fleet sizes
Hypothetically assume annual cargo of 1.2 million tonnes, payload of 60,000 tonnes and 300 available operating days. With a round trip including port work of 30 days, each ship makes 10 voyages and carries 600,000 tonnes, requiring 2 ships. A 60-day cycle permits 5 voyages and 300,000 tonnes per ship, requiring 4 ships for the same cargo. Required fleet capacity is not the same as newbuilding orders. If 2 suitable ships are already available, the first case requires no additions and the second requires 2 additional deployments, which could still be met by chartering or redeployment.
Check for yourself
- Are export volume, actual payload, port waiting and round-trip distance measured over a consistent period?
- Will additional capacity come from newbuilding, existing-vessel redeployment or charters?
Limits of application
This hypothetical model is not a forecast for an actual LNG project or shipowner. It fixes annual cargo and available days, excluding partial loads, boil-off, variable maintenance, slow steaming, canal restrictions and demand changes. It does not directly apply to increased domestic gas consumption.
- What to look for
- Explore US shipbuilding entry and global vessel demand while distinguishing business structures across vessel types, projects and equipment.
- Why it matters
- Test the sequence and conditions of potential benefits through contract scope, export flows, routes and existing capacity rather than equating gas investment with earnings growth for every shipbuilder.
Timeline
6 segmentsSeparate fitting demand from gas production and power investment from carrier and insulation demand tied to liquefaction, exports and transport. An export-terminal final investment decision differs from domestic power investment, and incremental ship needs depend on actual output, routes and existing fleet capacity. Treat the regional-mix comparisons of TK Corporation and Sung Kwang Bend as the guest’s analysis: rising share alone does not establish absolute order growth or profit superiority.
