💰Calculate your net worth, future value and retirement! (Featuring financial-freedom calculator version 3)
An independent exercise, not a statement by the video creator or verification of every claim in the video.
The order of losses changes the balance even with the same returns
Start with a hypothetical balance of 100 units, apply each year’s return, then withdraw 10 units at year-end. Returns of -20% followed by +25% leave 70 and then 77.5. Reversing the order to +25%, -20% leaves 115 and then 82. Without withdrawals both paths return to 100, but withdrawals produce a final difference of 4.5 units. When reviewing a retirement calculator, compare the same loss immediately after retirement and later in the plan instead of only changing an average return.
Check for yourself
- Does the withdrawal occur before or after the return is applied?
- How much essential spending would be difficult to cut after a loss?
- What changes if the horizon lengthens or pension commencement is delayed?
Limits of application
This hypothetical unit-based calculation excludes taxes, fees, inflation and additional income. It does not establish a safe return or withdrawal amount; averages in the linked life table do not guarantee an individual funding horizon.
- What to look for
- Separate current holdings, future savings and retirement withdrawals, and identify which inputs change each calculation.
- Why it matters
- Check AI-generated formulas and vary returns, retirement timing, spending and pensions separately to test the sensitivity of a projected depletion date.
Timeline
5 segmentsThe simulator is framed as a way to test losses and spending adjustments. Vary loss timing as well as size; periodic downturn assumptions do not capture every possible return path.
