SamproTV 3PROTVOctober 4, 2026

[Korean] Meeting Ken Fisher at the New York Stock Exchange! Why the Investment Master Is Optimistic About Stocks Through the First Half of Next Year [Global Money Talk]

What to look for
You can examine the statistical basis of the midterm election cycle's pattern over 9 months, how Ken Fisher interprets sentiment indicators such as share buybacks and IPO withdrawals, and specific global diversification guidelines for Korean investors.
Why it matters
This helps readers learn how to interpret seasonal statistics as conditional judgments and develop their own criteria for interpreting market reactions when news about sentiment indicators or government intervention emerges.

Ken Fisher says he is optimistic about the U.S. stock market from quarter 4 of this year through the first half of next year, citing a pattern of gains over 9 months in the midterm election cycle. He explains that this historical interval delivered positive returns on every occasion except once, with an average return of 19.8%, and that the pattern repeated regardless of the market's preceding direction. He views an overall increase in share buybacks as a negative sentiment indicator reflecting CEO optimism and as one signal of the later stages of a bull market. He says that although Nvidia's forward P/E is around 17 times, he remains wary of uncertainty in earnings forecasts while regarding it as a long-term holding. He interprets developments such as Oura's IPO withdrawal as a wait-and-see attitude among companies hoping to avoid a failed offering after SpaceX, and says current candidates have strong finances, unlike those in the 90s. Pointing to the Korean market's concentration in two stocks, he suggests allocating 1 out of 3 parts to regions outside the United States and diversifying across industrials, healthcare, and energy. He argues that interventions such as a government ban on diesel exports and a halt to long-term government bond issuance distort markets and backfire. All directional outlooks are the speaker's conditional judgments, not definitive predictions of short-term prices.

Timeline

5 segments

Was this helpful?

Educational information only; not investment advice.