Interstate armed conflicts lasting at least 6 months · Terminated and unconfirmed cases

Interstate conflicts · At least 6 months · Unconfirmed-eligibility candidates shown separately

Total 22 · Completed 6 · Ongoing 3 · Excluded 13

Last observed 2024-02-03 · Updated 2026-10-09

Completed cases6 casesOngoing and excluded cases are not included
Duration Median263.5 daysMean 1,077 days
Completed outcome range191 days ~ 2,888 daysMinimum ~ maximum

Same conditions, different outcomes

Completed and elapsed durations are distinguished. Cases with unconfirmed endings are excluded from completed statistics. Historical averages do not predict the remaining duration. Open a case to explore its context.

Cambodia / Thailand · Started in 2025 · 6-month minimum unconfirmedExcluded · 2025-07-26—

Observed 2025-07-26 → End unconfirmed · As of 2026-10-09

Exclusion reason: Whether duration reached 6 months is unconfirmed: annual activity data alone cannot establish the minimum duration, so the case is excluded from duration statistics.

UCDP country designation
Cambodia (Kampuchea), Thailand
Conflict and episode IDs
294 / 2025-07-26
Termination classification
Termination unconfirmed · Distinct from whether fighting currently continues
Contested territory (source wording)
Common Border
Precision of date evidence
Start code 1; end code unconfirmed
Latest source observation year
2025

Whether duration reached 6 months is unconfirmed: annual activity data alone cannot establish the minimum duration, so the case is excluded from duration statistics. The first day of a month or year is normalized for display; dates assigned in the source are not treated as exact actual dates. The latest data confirm only annual activity in 2025; current continuation and the actual ending date are unknown.

  • UCDP/PRIO Armed Conflict Dataset v26.1 · 1946–2025 ↗Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) · Checked 2026-10-09 · conflict_id=294; start_date2=2025-07-26; start_prec2=1; latest activity year=2025; ep_end=0; ep_end_date=unconfirmed; ep_end_prec=missing; CSV rows=1203,1203; activity-end and termination-outcome dates are not substituted for each other
  • UCDP/PRIO Armed Conflict Dataset Codebook v26.1 ↗Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) · Checked 2026-10-09 · pp. 9–12: conflict-year, start_date2/start_prec2; latest-year ep_end=0 means unknown next-year status; date precision codes
Israel / Syria · Started in 2025 · 6-month minimum unconfirmedExcluded · 2025-07—

Observed 2025-07 → End unconfirmed · As of 2026-10-09

Exclusion reason: Whether duration reached 6 months is unconfirmed: annual activity data alone cannot establish the minimum duration, so the case is excluded from duration statistics.

UCDP country designation
Israel, Syria
Conflict and episode IDs
302 / 2025-07-16
Termination classification
Termination unconfirmed · Distinct from whether fighting currently continues
Contested territory (source wording)
Golan Heights
Precision of date evidence
Start code 2; end code unconfirmed
Latest source observation year
2025

Whether duration reached 6 months is unconfirmed: annual activity data alone cannot establish the minimum duration, so the case is excluded from duration statistics. The first day of a month or year is normalized for display; dates assigned in the source are not treated as exact actual dates. The latest data confirm only annual activity in 2025; current continuation and the actual ending date are unknown.

  • UCDP/PRIO Armed Conflict Dataset v26.1 · 1946–2025 ↗Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) · Checked 2026-10-09 · conflict_id=302; start_date2=2025-07-16; start_prec2=2; latest activity year=2025; ep_end=0; ep_end_date=unconfirmed; ep_end_prec=missing; CSV rows=1314,1314; activity-end and termination-outcome dates are not substituted for each other
  • UCDP/PRIO Armed Conflict Dataset Codebook v26.1 ↗Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) · Checked 2026-10-09 · pp. 9–12: conflict-year, start_date2/start_prec2; latest-year ep_end=0 means unknown next-year status; date precision codes
Israel / Yemen · Started in 2025 · 6-month minimum unconfirmedExcluded · 2025-05-22—

Observed 2025-05-22 → End unconfirmed · As of 2026-10-09

Exclusion reason: Whether duration reached 6 months is unconfirmed: annual activity data alone cannot establish the minimum duration, so the case is excluded from duration statistics.

UCDP country designation
Israel, Yemen (North Yemen)
Conflict and episode IDs
16470 / 2025-05-22
Termination classification
Termination unconfirmed · Distinct from whether fighting currently continues
Contested territory (source wording)
Government-related conflict
Precision of date evidence
Start code 1; end code unconfirmed
Latest source observation year
2025

Whether duration reached 6 months is unconfirmed: annual activity data alone cannot establish the minimum duration, so the case is excluded from duration statistics. The first day of a month or year is normalized for display; dates assigned in the source are not treated as exact actual dates. The latest data confirm only annual activity in 2025; current continuation and the actual ending date are unknown.

  • UCDP/PRIO Armed Conflict Dataset v26.1 · 1946–2025 ↗Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) · Checked 2026-10-09 · conflict_id=16470; start_date2=2025-05-22; start_prec2=1; latest activity year=2025; ep_end=0; ep_end_date=unconfirmed; ep_end_prec=missing; CSV rows=2817,2817; activity-end and termination-outcome dates are not substituted for each other
  • UCDP/PRIO Armed Conflict Dataset Codebook v26.1 ↗Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) · Checked 2026-10-09 · pp. 9–12: conflict-year, start_date2/start_prec2; latest-year ep_end=0 means unknown next-year status; date precision codes
India / Pakistan · Started in 2025 · 6-month minimum unconfirmedExcluded · 2025-05-07—

Observed 2025-05-07 → End unconfirmed · As of 2026-10-09

Exclusion reason: Whether duration reached 6 months is unconfirmed: annual activity data alone cannot establish the minimum duration, so the case is excluded from duration statistics.

UCDP country designation
India, Pakistan
Conflict and episode IDs
218 / 2025-05-07
Termination classification
Termination unconfirmed · Distinct from whether fighting currently continues
Contested territory (source wording)
Kashmir
Precision of date evidence
Start code 1; end code unconfirmed
Latest source observation year
2025

Whether duration reached 6 months is unconfirmed: annual activity data alone cannot establish the minimum duration, so the case is excluded from duration statistics. The first day of a month or year is normalized for display; dates assigned in the source are not treated as exact actual dates. The latest data confirm only annual activity in 2025; current continuation and the actual ending date are unknown.

  • UCDP/PRIO Armed Conflict Dataset v26.1 · 1946–2025 ↗Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) · Checked 2026-10-09 · conflict_id=218; start_date2=2025-05-07; start_prec2=1; latest activity year=2025; ep_end=0; ep_end_date=unconfirmed; ep_end_prec=missing; CSV rows=170,170; activity-end and termination-outcome dates are not substituted for each other
  • UCDP/PRIO Armed Conflict Dataset Codebook v26.1 ↗Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) · Checked 2026-10-09 · pp. 9–12: conflict-year, start_date2/start_prec2; latest-year ep_end=0 means unknown next-year status; date precision codes
Afghanistan / Pakistan · Started in 2024 · 6-month minimum unconfirmedExcluded · 2024-08-12—

Observed 2024-08-12 → End unconfirmed · As of 2026-10-09

Exclusion reason: Whether duration reached 6 months is unconfirmed: annual activity data alone cannot establish the minimum duration, so the case is excluded from duration statistics.

UCDP country designation
Afghanistan, Pakistan
Conflict and episode IDs
11639 / 1163901
Termination classification
Termination unconfirmed · Distinct from whether fighting currently continues
Contested territory (source wording)
Durand line
Precision of date evidence
Start code 1; end code unconfirmed
Latest source observation year
2025

Whether duration reached 6 months is unconfirmed: annual activity data alone cannot establish the minimum duration, so the case is excluded from duration statistics. The first day of a month or year is normalized for display; dates assigned in the source are not treated as exact actual dates. The latest data confirm only annual activity in 2025; current continuation and the actual ending date are unknown.

  • UCDP Conflict Termination Dataset v4_2024 · Conflict CSV ↗Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) · Checked 2026-10-09 · c_epid=1163901; conflict_id=11639; onset year=2024, CSV row=2541; final year=2024, CSV row=2541; start_date2/start_prec2=2024-08-12/1; c_ependdate/c_ependprec=unconfirmed/unknown; c_epterm=unknown; c_outcome=unknown
  • UCDP Conflict Termination Dataset v.4 2024 Codebook ↗Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) · Checked 2026-10-09 · pp. 2–3 episode/outcomes; pp. 5–6 type_of_conflict2, c_epterm, c_outcome, c_ependdate/prec; p. 13 start_date2/prec2
  • UCDP/PRIO Armed Conflict Dataset v26.1 · 1946–2025 ↗Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) · Checked 2026-10-09 · conflict_id=11639; start_date2=2024-08-12; start_prec2=1; latest activity year=2025; ep_end=0; ep_end_date=unconfirmed; ep_end_prec=missing; CSV rows=2575,2576; activity-end and termination-outcome dates are not substituted for each other
  • UCDP/PRIO Armed Conflict Dataset Codebook v26.1 ↗Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) · Checked 2026-10-09 · pp. 9–12: conflict-year, start_date2/start_prec2; latest-year ep_end=0 means unknown next-year status; date precision codes
United Kingdom / United States / Yemen · Started in 2024 · End unconfirmedEnd unconfirmed · 2024-02-03—

Observed 2024-02-03 → End unconfirmed · As of 2026-10-09

UCDP country designation
United Kingdom, United States of America, Yemen (North Yemen)
Conflict and episode IDs
16099 / 1609901
Termination classification
Termination unconfirmed · Distinct from whether fighting currently continues
Contested territory (source wording)
Red Sea, Bab al Mandab and Gulf of Aden
Precision of date evidence
Start code 1; end code unconfirmed
Latest source observation year
2025

UCDP/PRIO v26.1 records annual activity of the same episode through 2025, confirming the minimum condition of at least 6 months. An ep_end=0 value in the latest year means the following year’s termination determination is unknown, not that fighting continues in 2026. Elapsed days are not extended to the verification date, and the case is excluded from final-duration means.

  • UCDP Conflict Termination Dataset v4_2024 · Conflict CSV ↗Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) · Checked 2026-10-09 · c_epid=1609901; conflict_id=16099; onset year=2024, CSV row=2750; final year=2024, CSV row=2750; start_date2/start_prec2=2024-02-03/1; c_ependdate/c_ependprec=unconfirmed/unknown; c_epterm=unknown; c_outcome=unknown
  • UCDP Conflict Termination Dataset v.4 2024 Codebook ↗Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) · Checked 2026-10-09 · pp. 2–3 episode/outcomes; pp. 5–6 type_of_conflict2, c_epterm, c_outcome, c_ependdate/prec; p. 13 start_date2/prec2
  • UCDP/PRIO Armed Conflict Dataset v26.1 · 1946–2025 ↗Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) · Checked 2026-10-09 · conflict_id=16099; start_date2=2024-02-03; start_prec2=1; latest activity year=2025; ep_end=0; ep_end_date=unconfirmed; ep_end_prec=missing; CSV rows=2813,2814; activity-end and termination-outcome dates are not substituted for each other
  • UCDP/PRIO Armed Conflict Dataset Codebook v26.1 ↗Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) · Checked 2026-10-09 · pp. 9–12: conflict-year, start_date2/start_prec2; latest-year ep_end=0 means unknown next-year status; date precision codes
Russia / Ukraine · Started in 2022 · End unconfirmedEnd unconfirmed · 2022-02-24—

Observed 2022-02-24 → End unconfirmed · As of 2026-10-09

UCDP country designation
Russia (Soviet Union), Ukraine
Conflict and episode IDs
13243 / 1324301
Termination classification
Termination unconfirmed · Distinct from whether fighting currently continues
Contested territory (source wording)
Crimea
Precision of date evidence
Start code 1; end code unconfirmed
Latest source observation year
2025

UCDP/PRIO v26.1 records annual activity of the same episode through 2025, confirming the minimum condition of at least 6 months. An ep_end=0 value in the latest year means the following year’s termination determination is unknown, not that fighting continues in 2026. Elapsed days are not extended to the verification date, and the case is excluded from final-duration means.

  • UCDP Conflict Termination Dataset v4_2024 · Conflict CSV ↗Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) · Checked 2026-10-09 · c_epid=1324301; conflict_id=13243; onset year=2022, CSV row=2549; final year=2024, CSV row=2551; start_date2/start_prec2=2022-02-24/1; c_ependdate/c_ependprec=unconfirmed/unknown; c_epterm=unknown; c_outcome=unknown
  • UCDP Conflict Termination Dataset v.4 2024 Codebook ↗Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) · Checked 2026-10-09 · pp. 2–3 episode/outcomes; pp. 5–6 type_of_conflict2, c_epterm, c_outcome, c_ependdate/prec; p. 13 start_date2/prec2
  • UCDP/PRIO Armed Conflict Dataset v26.1 · 1946–2025 ↗Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) · Checked 2026-10-09 · conflict_id=13243; start_date2=2022-02-24; start_prec2=1; latest activity year=2025; ep_end=0; ep_end_date=unconfirmed; ep_end_prec=missing; CSV rows=2586,2599; activity-end and termination-outcome dates are not substituted for each other
  • UCDP/PRIO Armed Conflict Dataset Codebook v26.1 ↗Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) · Checked 2026-10-09 · pp. 9–12: conflict-year, start_date2/start_prec2; latest-year ep_end=0 means unknown next-year status; date precision codes
Kyrgyzstan / Tajikistan · Started in 2021Excluded · 2021-05—

Observed 2021-05 → 2022-09 · As of 2026-10-09

Exclusion reason: Excluded from duration calculation—uncertain dates: at least 6 months is confirmed, but exact daily start and end dates are not confirmed.

UCDP country designation
Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan
Conflict and episode IDs
13324 / 1332401
Termination classification
1 · peace agreement
Contested territory (source wording)
Common Border
Precision of date evidence
Start code 2; end code 2
Latest source observation year
2022

Excluded from duration calculation—uncertain dates: at least 6 months is confirmed, but exact daily start and end dates are not confirmed. The first day of a month or year is normalized for display; dates assigned in the source are not treated as exact actual dates. This case is shown in the termination history but excluded from daily means and medians.

  • UCDP Conflict Termination Dataset v4_2024 · Conflict CSV ↗Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) · Checked 2026-10-09 · c_epid=1332401; conflict_id=13324; onset year=2021, CSV row=2563; final year=2022, CSV row=2564; start_date2/start_prec2=2021-05-01/2; c_ependdate/c_ependprec=2022-09-30/2; c_epterm=1; c_outcome=1
  • UCDP Conflict Termination Dataset v.4 2024 Codebook ↗Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) · Checked 2026-10-09 · pp. 2–3 episode/outcomes; pp. 5–6 type_of_conflict2, c_epterm, c_outcome, c_ependdate/prec; p. 13 start_date2/prec2
  • UCDP/PRIO Armed Conflict Dataset v26.1 · 1946–2025 ↗Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) · Checked 2026-10-09 · conflict_id=13324; start_date2=2021-05-01; start_prec2=2; latest activity year=2022; ep_end=1; ep_end_date=2022-09-18; ep_end_prec=missing; CSV rows=2608,2609; activity-end and termination-outcome dates are not substituted for each other
  • UCDP/PRIO Armed Conflict Dataset Codebook v26.1 ↗Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) · Checked 2026-10-09 · pp. 9–12: conflict-year, start_date2/start_prec2; latest-year ep_end=0 means unknown next-year status; date precision codes
Iran / Israel · Started in 2018 · End unconfirmedEnd unconfirmed · 2018-04-29—

Observed 2018-04-29 → End unconfirmed · As of 2026-10-09

UCDP country designation
Iran, Israel
Conflict and episode IDs
14609 / 1460901
Termination classification
Termination unconfirmed · Distinct from whether fighting currently continues
Contested territory (source wording)
Government-related conflict
Precision of date evidence
Start code 1; end code unconfirmed
Latest source observation year
2025

UCDP/PRIO v26.1 records annual activity of the same episode through 2025, confirming the minimum condition of at least 6 months. An ep_end=0 value in the latest year means the following year’s termination determination is unknown, not that fighting continues in 2026. Elapsed days are not extended to the verification date, and the case is excluded from final-duration means.

  • UCDP Conflict Termination Dataset v4_2024 · Conflict CSV ↗Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) · Checked 2026-10-09 · c_epid=1460901; conflict_id=14609; onset year=2018, CSV row=2717; final year=2024, CSV row=2723; start_date2/start_prec2=2018-04-29/1; c_ependdate/c_ependprec=unconfirmed/unknown; c_epterm=unknown; c_outcome=unknown
  • UCDP Conflict Termination Dataset v.4 2024 Codebook ↗Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) · Checked 2026-10-09 · pp. 2–3 episode/outcomes; pp. 5–6 type_of_conflict2, c_epterm, c_outcome, c_ependdate/prec; p. 13 start_date2/prec2
  • UCDP/PRIO Armed Conflict Dataset v26.1 · 1946–2025 ↗Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) · Checked 2026-10-09 · conflict_id=14609; start_date2=2018-04-29; start_prec2=1; latest activity year=2025; ep_end=0; ep_end_date=unconfirmed; ep_end_prec=missing; CSV rows=2774,2781; activity-end and termination-outcome dates are not substituted for each other
  • UCDP/PRIO Armed Conflict Dataset Codebook v26.1 ↗Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) · Checked 2026-10-09 · pp. 9–12: conflict-year, start_date2/start_prec2; latest-year ep_end=0 means unknown next-year status; date precision codes
India / Pakistan · Started in 2013Completed · 2013-10-042,645 days

Observed 2013-10-04 → 2020-12-31 · As of 2026-10-09

UCDP country designation
India, Pakistan
Conflict and episode IDs
218 / 21809
Termination classification
2 · ceasefire agreement
Contested territory (source wording)
Kashmir
Precision of date evidence
Start code 1; end code 1
Latest source observation year
2020

The interval from reaching the armed-conflict threshold on 2013-10-04 to the ex-post confirmed termination on 2020-12-31 is 2645 days. Termination is classified as ceasefire agreement. This is not the interval between the first violence and agreement signing, nor does it imply continuous daily fighting or permanent peace.

  • UCDP Conflict Termination Dataset v4_2024 · Conflict CSV ↗Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) · Checked 2026-10-09 · c_epid=21809; conflict_id=218; onset year=2013, CSV row=161; final year=2020, CSV row=168; start_date2/start_prec2=2013-10-04/1; c_ependdate/c_ependprec=2020-12-31/1; c_epterm=1; c_outcome=2
  • UCDP Conflict Termination Dataset v.4 2024 Codebook ↗Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) · Checked 2026-10-09 · pp. 2–3 episode/outcomes; pp. 5–6 type_of_conflict2, c_epterm, c_outcome, c_ependdate/prec; p. 13 start_date2/prec2
  • UCDP/PRIO Armed Conflict Dataset v26.1 · 1946–2025 ↗Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) · Checked 2026-10-09 · conflict_id=218; start_date2=2013-10-04; start_prec2=1; latest activity year=2020; ep_end=1; ep_end_date=2020-12-30; ep_end_prec=missing; CSV rows=162,169; activity-end and termination-outcome dates are not substituted for each other
  • UCDP/PRIO Armed Conflict Dataset Codebook v26.1 ↗Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) · Checked 2026-10-09 · pp. 9–12: conflict-year, start_date2/start_prec2; latest-year ep_end=0 means unknown next-year status; date precision codes
South Sudan / Sudan · Started in 2012Completed · 2012-03-27274 days

Observed 2012-03-27 → 2012-12-26 · As of 2026-10-09

UCDP country designation
South Sudan, Sudan
Conflict and episode IDs
11348 / 1134801
Termination classification
1 · peace agreement
Contested territory (source wording)
Common border
Precision of date evidence
Start code 1; end code 1
Latest source observation year
2012

The interval from reaching the armed-conflict threshold on 2012-03-27 to the ex-post confirmed termination on 2012-12-26 is 274 days. Termination is classified as peace agreement. This is not the interval between the first violence and agreement signing, nor does it imply continuous daily fighting or permanent peace.

  • UCDP Conflict Termination Dataset v4_2024 · Conflict CSV ↗Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) · Checked 2026-10-09 · c_epid=1134801; conflict_id=11348; onset year=2012, CSV row=2528; final year=2012, CSV row=2528; start_date2/start_prec2=2012-03-27/1; c_ependdate/c_ependprec=2012-12-26/1; c_epterm=1; c_outcome=1
  • UCDP Conflict Termination Dataset v.4 2024 Codebook ↗Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) · Checked 2026-10-09 · pp. 2–3 episode/outcomes; pp. 5–6 type_of_conflict2, c_epterm, c_outcome, c_ependdate/prec; p. 13 start_date2/prec2
  • UCDP/PRIO Armed Conflict Dataset v26.1 · 1946–2025 ↗Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) · Checked 2026-10-09 · conflict_id=11348; start_date2=2012-03-27; start_prec2=1; latest activity year=2012; ep_end=1; ep_end_date=2012-12-26; ep_end_prec=missing; CSV rows=2560,2560; activity-end and termination-outcome dates are not substituted for each other
  • UCDP/PRIO Armed Conflict Dataset Codebook v26.1 ↗Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) · Checked 2026-10-09 · pp. 9–12: conflict-year, start_date2/start_prec2; latest-year ep_end=0 means unknown next-year status; date precision codes
Eritrea / Ethiopia · Started in 1998Excluded · 1998-05—

Observed 1998-05 → 2000 · As of 2026-10-09

Exclusion reason: Excluded from duration calculation—uncertain dates: at least 6 months is confirmed, but exact daily start and end dates are not confirmed.

UCDP country designation
Eritrea, Ethiopia
Conflict and episode IDs
409 / 40901
Termination classification
1 · peace agreement
Contested territory (source wording)
Common border
Precision of date evidence
Start code 2; end code 5
Latest source observation year
2000

Excluded from duration calculation—uncertain dates: at least 6 months is confirmed, but exact daily start and end dates are not confirmed. The first day of a month or year is normalized for display; dates assigned in the source are not treated as exact actual dates. This case is shown in the termination history but excluded from daily means and medians.

  • UCDP Conflict Termination Dataset v4_2024 · Conflict CSV ↗Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) · Checked 2026-10-09 · c_epid=40901; conflict_id=409; onset year=1998, CSV row=2287; final year=2000, CSV row=2289; start_date2/start_prec2=1998-05-31/2; c_ependdate/c_ependprec=2000-06-18/5; c_epterm=1; c_outcome=1
  • UCDP Conflict Termination Dataset v.4 2024 Codebook ↗Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) · Checked 2026-10-09 · pp. 2–3 episode/outcomes; pp. 5–6 type_of_conflict2, c_epterm, c_outcome, c_ependdate/prec; p. 13 start_date2/prec2
  • UCDP/PRIO Armed Conflict Dataset v26.1 · 1946–2025 ↗Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) · Checked 2026-10-09 · conflict_id=409; start_date2=1998-05-31; start_prec2=2; latest activity year=2000; ep_end=1; ep_end_date=2000-06-18; ep_end_prec=missing; CSV rows=2323,2325; activity-end and termination-outcome dates are not substituted for each other
  • UCDP/PRIO Armed Conflict Dataset Codebook v26.1 ↗Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) · Checked 2026-10-09 · pp. 9–12: conflict-year, start_date2/start_prec2; latest-year ep_end=0 means unknown next-year status; date precision codes
India / Pakistan · Started in 1996Excluded · 1996—

Observed 1996 → 2003-11-26 · As of 2026-10-09

Exclusion reason: Excluded from duration calculation—uncertain dates: at least 6 months is confirmed, but exact daily start and end dates are not confirmed.

UCDP country designation
India, Pakistan
Conflict and episode IDs
218 / 21808
Termination classification
2 · ceasefire agreement
Contested territory (source wording)
Kashmir
Precision of date evidence
Start code 5; end code 1
Latest source observation year
2003

Excluded from duration calculation—uncertain dates: at least 6 months is confirmed, but exact daily start and end dates are not confirmed. The first day of a month or year is normalized for display; dates assigned in the source are not treated as exact actual dates. This case is shown in the termination history but excluded from daily means and medians.

  • UCDP Conflict Termination Dataset v4_2024 · Conflict CSV ↗Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) · Checked 2026-10-09 · c_epid=21808; conflict_id=218; onset year=1996, CSV row=153; final year=2003, CSV row=160; start_date2/start_prec2=1996-12-31/5; c_ependdate/c_ependprec=2003-11-26/1; c_epterm=1; c_outcome=2
  • UCDP Conflict Termination Dataset v.4 2024 Codebook ↗Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) · Checked 2026-10-09 · pp. 2–3 episode/outcomes; pp. 5–6 type_of_conflict2, c_epterm, c_outcome, c_ependdate/prec; p. 13 start_date2/prec2
  • UCDP/PRIO Armed Conflict Dataset v26.1 · 1946–2025 ↗Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) · Checked 2026-10-09 · conflict_id=218; start_date2=1996-12-31; start_prec2=5; latest activity year=2003; ep_end=1; ep_end_date=2003-11-22; ep_end_prec=missing; CSV rows=154,161; activity-end and termination-outcome dates are not substituted for each other
  • UCDP/PRIO Armed Conflict Dataset Codebook v26.1 ↗Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) · Checked 2026-10-09 · pp. 9–12: conflict-year, start_date2/start_prec2; latest-year ep_end=0 means unknown next-year status; date precision codes
Iraq / Kuwait · Started in 1990Completed · 1990-08-02211 days

Observed 1990-08-02 → 1991-03-01 · As of 2026-10-09

UCDP country designation
Iraq, Kuwait
Conflict and episode IDs
371 / 37101
Termination classification
4 · side B victory
Contested territory (source wording)
Kuwait
Precision of date evidence
Start code 1; end code 1
Latest source observation year
1991

The interval from reaching the armed-conflict threshold on 1990-08-02 to the ex-post confirmed termination on 1991-03-01 is 211 days. Termination is classified as side B victory. This is not the interval between the first violence and agreement signing, nor does it imply continuous daily fighting or permanent peace.

  • UCDP Conflict Termination Dataset v4_2024 · Conflict CSV ↗Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) · Checked 2026-10-09 · c_epid=37101; conflict_id=371; onset year=1990, CSV row=2051; final year=1991, CSV row=2052; start_date2/start_prec2=1990-08-02/1; c_ependdate/c_ependprec=1991-03-01/1; c_epterm=1; c_outcome=4
  • UCDP Conflict Termination Dataset v.4 2024 Codebook ↗Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) · Checked 2026-10-09 · pp. 2–3 episode/outcomes; pp. 5–6 type_of_conflict2, c_epterm, c_outcome, c_ependdate/prec; p. 13 start_date2/prec2
  • UCDP/PRIO Armed Conflict Dataset v26.1 · 1946–2025 ↗Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) · Checked 2026-10-09 · conflict_id=371; start_date2=1990-08-02; start_prec2=1; latest activity year=1991; ep_end=1; ep_end_date=1991-03-01; ep_end_prec=missing; CSV rows=2083,2097; activity-end and termination-outcome dates are not substituted for each other
  • UCDP/PRIO Armed Conflict Dataset Codebook v26.1 ↗Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) · Checked 2026-10-09 · pp. 9–12: conflict-year, start_date2/start_prec2; latest-year ep_end=0 means unknown next-year status; date precision codes
India / Pakistan · Started in 1989Excluded · 1989—

Observed 1989 → 1992 · As of 2026-10-09

Exclusion reason: Excluded from duration calculation—uncertain dates: at least 6 months is confirmed, but exact daily start and end dates are not confirmed.

UCDP country designation
India, Pakistan
Conflict and episode IDs
218 / 21806
Termination classification
5 · reduced activity
Contested territory (source wording)
Kashmir
Precision of date evidence
Start code 5; end code 5
Latest source observation year
1992

Excluded from duration calculation—uncertain dates: at least 6 months is confirmed, but exact daily start and end dates are not confirmed. The first day of a month or year is normalized for display; dates assigned in the source are not treated as exact actual dates. This case is shown in the termination history but excluded from daily means and medians.

  • UCDP Conflict Termination Dataset v4_2024 · Conflict CSV ↗Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) · Checked 2026-10-09 · c_epid=21806; conflict_id=218; onset year=1989, CSV row=148; final year=1992, CSV row=151; start_date2/start_prec2=1989-12-31/5; c_ependdate/c_ependprec=1992-12-31/5; c_epterm=1; c_outcome=5
  • UCDP Conflict Termination Dataset v.4 2024 Codebook ↗Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) · Checked 2026-10-09 · pp. 2–3 episode/outcomes; pp. 5–6 type_of_conflict2, c_epterm, c_outcome, c_ependdate/prec; p. 13 start_date2/prec2
  • UCDP/PRIO Armed Conflict Dataset v26.1 · 1946–2025 ↗Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) · Checked 2026-10-09 · conflict_id=218; start_date2=1989-12-31; start_prec2=5; latest activity year=1992; ep_end=1; ep_end_date=1992-12-31; ep_end_prec=missing; CSV rows=149,152; activity-end and termination-outcome dates are not substituted for each other
  • UCDP/PRIO Armed Conflict Dataset Codebook v26.1 ↗Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) · Checked 2026-10-09 · pp. 9–12: conflict-year, start_date2/start_prec2; latest-year ep_end=0 means unknown next-year status; date precision codes
China / Vietnam · Started in 1986Excluded · 1986—

Observed 1986 → 1988 · As of 2026-10-09

Exclusion reason: Excluded from duration calculation—uncertain dates: at least 6 months is confirmed, but exact daily start and end dates are not confirmed.

UCDP country designation
China, Vietnam (North Vietnam)
Conflict and episode IDs
334 / 33404
Termination classification
5 · reduced activity
Contested territory (source wording)
Various
Precision of date evidence
Start code 5; end code 5
Latest source observation year
1988

Excluded from duration calculation—uncertain dates: at least 6 months is confirmed, but exact daily start and end dates are not confirmed. The first day of a month or year is normalized for display; dates assigned in the source are not treated as exact actual dates. This case is shown in the termination history but excluded from daily means and medians.

  • UCDP Conflict Termination Dataset v4_2024 · Conflict CSV ↗Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) · Checked 2026-10-09 · c_epid=33404; conflict_id=334; onset year=1986, CSV row=1722; final year=1988, CSV row=1724; start_date2/start_prec2=1986-12-31/5; c_ependdate/c_ependprec=1988-12-31/5; c_epterm=1; c_outcome=5
  • UCDP Conflict Termination Dataset v.4 2024 Codebook ↗Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) · Checked 2026-10-09 · pp. 2–3 episode/outcomes; pp. 5–6 type_of_conflict2, c_epterm, c_outcome, c_ependdate/prec; p. 13 start_date2/prec2
  • UCDP/PRIO Armed Conflict Dataset v26.1 · 1946–2025 ↗Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) · Checked 2026-10-09 · conflict_id=334; start_date2=1986-12-31; start_prec2=5; latest activity year=1988; ep_end=1; ep_end_date=1988-12-31; ep_end_prec=missing; CSV rows=1719,1745; activity-end and termination-outcome dates are not substituted for each other
  • UCDP/PRIO Armed Conflict Dataset Codebook v26.1 ↗Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) · Checked 2026-10-09 · pp. 9–12: conflict-year, start_date2/start_prec2; latest-year ep_end=0 means unknown next-year status; date precision codes
Laos / Thailand · Started in 1986Excluded · 1986—

Observed 1986 → 1988-02-17 · As of 2026-10-09

Exclusion reason: Excluded from duration calculation—uncertain dates: at least 6 months is confirmed, but exact daily start and end dates are not confirmed.

UCDP country designation
Laos, Thailand
Conflict and episode IDs
356 / 35601
Termination classification
2 · ceasefire agreement
Contested territory (source wording)
Common Border
Precision of date evidence
Start code 5; end code 1
Latest source observation year
1988

Excluded from duration calculation—uncertain dates: at least 6 months is confirmed, but exact daily start and end dates are not confirmed. The first day of a month or year is normalized for display; dates assigned in the source are not treated as exact actual dates. This case is shown in the termination history but excluded from daily means and medians.

  • UCDP Conflict Termination Dataset v4_2024 · Conflict CSV ↗Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) · Checked 2026-10-09 · c_epid=35601; conflict_id=356; onset year=1986, CSV row=1958; final year=1988, CSV row=1960; start_date2/start_prec2=1986-12-31/5; c_ependdate/c_ependprec=1988-02-17/1; c_epterm=1; c_outcome=2
  • UCDP Conflict Termination Dataset v.4 2024 Codebook ↗Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) · Checked 2026-10-09 · pp. 2–3 episode/outcomes; pp. 5–6 type_of_conflict2, c_epterm, c_outcome, c_ependdate/prec; p. 13 start_date2/prec2
  • UCDP/PRIO Armed Conflict Dataset v26.1 · 1946–2025 ↗Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) · Checked 2026-10-09 · conflict_id=356; start_date2=1986-12-31; start_prec2=5; latest activity year=1988; ep_end=1; ep_end_date=1988-02-17; ep_end_prec=missing; CSV rows=1987,1989; activity-end and termination-outcome dates are not substituted for each other
  • UCDP/PRIO Armed Conflict Dataset Codebook v26.1 ↗Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) · Checked 2026-10-09 · pp. 9–12: conflict-year, start_date2/start_prec2; latest-year ep_end=0 means unknown next-year status; date precision codes
Chad / Nigeria · Started in 1983Completed · 1983-04-24191 days

Observed 1983-04-24 → 1983-11-01 · As of 2026-10-09

UCDP country designation
Chad, Nigeria
Conflict and episode IDs
349 / 34901
Termination classification
2 · ceasefire agreement
Contested territory (source wording)
Lake Chad
Precision of date evidence
Start code 1; end code 1
Latest source observation year
1983

The interval from reaching the armed-conflict threshold on 1983-04-24 to the ex-post confirmed termination on 1983-11-01 is 191 days. Termination is classified as ceasefire agreement. This is not the interval between the first violence and agreement signing, nor does it imply continuous daily fighting or permanent peace.

  • UCDP Conflict Termination Dataset v4_2024 · Conflict CSV ↗Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) · Checked 2026-10-09 · c_epid=34901; conflict_id=349; onset year=1983, CSV row=1870; final year=1983, CSV row=1870; start_date2/start_prec2=1983-04-24/1; c_ependdate/c_ependprec=1983-11-01/1; c_epterm=1; c_outcome=2
  • UCDP Conflict Termination Dataset v.4 2024 Codebook ↗Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) · Checked 2026-10-09 · pp. 2–3 episode/outcomes; pp. 5–6 type_of_conflict2, c_epterm, c_outcome, c_ependdate/prec; p. 13 start_date2/prec2
  • UCDP/PRIO Armed Conflict Dataset v26.1 · 1946–2025 ↗Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) · Checked 2026-10-09 · conflict_id=349; start_date2=1983-04-24; start_prec2=1; latest activity year=1983; ep_end=1; ep_end_date=1983-11-01; ep_end_prec=missing; CSV rows=1897,1897; activity-end and termination-outcome dates are not substituted for each other
  • UCDP/PRIO Armed Conflict Dataset Codebook v26.1 ↗Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) · Checked 2026-10-09 · pp. 9–12: conflict-year, start_date2/start_prec2; latest-year ep_end=0 means unknown next-year status; date precision codes
Iran / Iraq · Started in 1980Completed · 1980-09-232,888 days

Observed 1980-09-23 → 1988-08-20 · As of 2026-10-09

UCDP country designation
Iran, Iraq
Conflict and episode IDs
324 / 32402
Termination classification
2 · ceasefire agreement
Contested territory (source wording)
Various
Precision of date evidence
Start code 1; end code 1
Latest source observation year
1988

The interval from reaching the armed-conflict threshold on 1980-09-23 to the ex-post confirmed termination on 1988-08-20 is 2888 days. Termination is classified as ceasefire agreement. This is not the interval between the first violence and agreement signing, nor does it imply continuous daily fighting or permanent peace.

  • UCDP Conflict Termination Dataset v4_2024 · Conflict CSV ↗Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) · Checked 2026-10-09 · c_epid=32402; conflict_id=324; onset year=1980, CSV row=1521; final year=1988, CSV row=1529; start_date2/start_prec2=1980-09-23/1; c_ependdate/c_ependprec=1988-08-20/1; c_epterm=1; c_outcome=2
  • UCDP Conflict Termination Dataset v.4 2024 Codebook ↗Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) · Checked 2026-10-09 · pp. 2–3 episode/outcomes; pp. 5–6 type_of_conflict2, c_epterm, c_outcome, c_ependdate/prec; p. 13 start_date2/prec2
  • UCDP/PRIO Armed Conflict Dataset v26.1 · 1946–2025 ↗Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) · Checked 2026-10-09 · conflict_id=324; start_date2=1980-09-23; start_prec2=1; latest activity year=1988; ep_end=1; ep_end_date=1988-08-20; ep_end_prec=missing; CSV rows=1543,1551; activity-end and termination-outcome dates are not substituted for each other
  • UCDP/PRIO Armed Conflict Dataset Codebook v26.1 ↗Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) · Checked 2026-10-09 · pp. 9–12: conflict-year, start_date2/start_prec2; latest-year ep_end=0 means unknown next-year status; date precision codes
Ethiopia / Somalia · Started in 1980Excluded · 1980-05—

Observed 1980-05 → 1980-12-03 · As of 2026-10-09

Exclusion reason: Excluded from duration calculation—uncertain dates: at least 6 months is confirmed, but exact daily start and end dates are not confirmed.

UCDP country designation
Ethiopia, Somalia
Conflict and episode IDs
268 / 26803
Termination classification
3 · side A victory
Contested territory (source wording)
Ogaden
Precision of date evidence
Start code 3; end code 1
Latest source observation year
1980

Excluded from duration calculation—uncertain dates: at least 6 months is confirmed, but exact daily start and end dates are not confirmed. The first day of a month or year is normalized for display; dates assigned in the source are not treated as exact actual dates. This case is shown in the termination history but excluded from daily means and medians.

  • UCDP Conflict Termination Dataset v4_2024 · Conflict CSV ↗Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) · Checked 2026-10-09 · c_epid=26803; conflict_id=268; onset year=1980, CSV row=857; final year=1980, CSV row=857; start_date2/start_prec2=1980-05-31/3; c_ependdate/c_ependprec=1980-12-03/1; c_epterm=1; c_outcome=3
  • UCDP Conflict Termination Dataset v.4 2024 Codebook ↗Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) · Checked 2026-10-09 · pp. 2–3 episode/outcomes; pp. 5–6 type_of_conflict2, c_epterm, c_outcome, c_ependdate/prec; p. 13 start_date2/prec2
  • UCDP/PRIO Armed Conflict Dataset v26.1 · 1946–2025 ↗Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) · Checked 2026-10-09 · conflict_id=268; start_date2=1980-05-31; start_prec2=3; latest activity year=1980; ep_end=1; ep_end_date=1980-12-03; ep_end_prec=missing; CSV rows=869,869; activity-end and termination-outcome dates are not substituted for each other
  • UCDP/PRIO Armed Conflict Dataset Codebook v26.1 ↗Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) · Checked 2026-10-09 · pp. 9–12: conflict-year, start_date2/start_prec2; latest-year ep_end=0 means unknown next-year status; date precision codes
China / Vietnam · Started in 1978Excluded · 1978—

Observed 1978 → 1981 · As of 2026-10-09

Exclusion reason: Excluded from duration calculation—uncertain dates: at least 6 months is confirmed, but exact daily start and end dates are not confirmed.

UCDP country designation
China, Vietnam (North Vietnam)
Conflict and episode IDs
334 / 33402
Termination classification
4 · side B victory
Contested territory (source wording)
Various
Precision of date evidence
Start code 5; end code 5
Latest source observation year
1981

Excluded from duration calculation—uncertain dates: at least 6 months is confirmed, but exact daily start and end dates are not confirmed. The first day of a month or year is normalized for display; dates assigned in the source are not treated as exact actual dates. This case is shown in the termination history but excluded from daily means and medians.

  • UCDP Conflict Termination Dataset v4_2024 · Conflict CSV ↗Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) · Checked 2026-10-09 · c_epid=33402; conflict_id=334; onset year=1978, CSV row=1716; final year=1981, CSV row=1719; start_date2/start_prec2=1978-12-31/5; c_ependdate/c_ependprec=1981-12-31/5; c_epterm=1; c_outcome=4
  • UCDP Conflict Termination Dataset v.4 2024 Codebook ↗Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) · Checked 2026-10-09 · pp. 2–3 episode/outcomes; pp. 5–6 type_of_conflict2, c_epterm, c_outcome, c_ependdate/prec; p. 13 start_date2/prec2
  • UCDP/PRIO Armed Conflict Dataset v26.1 · 1946–2025 ↗Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) · Checked 2026-10-09 · conflict_id=334; start_date2=1978-12-31; start_prec2=5; latest activity year=1981; ep_end=1; ep_end_date=1981-12-31; ep_end_prec=missing; CSV rows=1738,1741; activity-end and termination-outcome dates are not substituted for each other
  • UCDP/PRIO Armed Conflict Dataset Codebook v26.1 ↗Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) · Checked 2026-10-09 · pp. 9–12: conflict-year, start_date2/start_prec2; latest-year ep_end=0 means unknown next-year status; date precision codes
Ethiopia / Somalia · Started in 1977Completed · 1977-07-13253 days

Observed 1977-07-13 → 1978-03-23 · As of 2026-10-09

UCDP country designation
Ethiopia, Somalia
Conflict and episode IDs
268 / 26802
Termination classification
3 · side A victory
Contested territory (source wording)
Ogaden
Precision of date evidence
Start code 1; end code 1
Latest source observation year
1978

The interval from reaching the armed-conflict threshold on 1977-07-13 to the ex-post confirmed termination on 1978-03-23 is 253 days. Termination is classified as side A victory. This is not the interval between the first violence and agreement signing, nor does it imply continuous daily fighting or permanent peace.

  • UCDP Conflict Termination Dataset v4_2024 · Conflict CSV ↗Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) · Checked 2026-10-09 · c_epid=26802; conflict_id=268; onset year=1977, CSV row=855; final year=1978, CSV row=856; start_date2/start_prec2=1977-07-13/1; c_ependdate/c_ependprec=1978-03-23/1; c_epterm=1; c_outcome=3
  • UCDP Conflict Termination Dataset v.4 2024 Codebook ↗Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) · Checked 2026-10-09 · pp. 2–3 episode/outcomes; pp. 5–6 type_of_conflict2, c_epterm, c_outcome, c_ependdate/prec; p. 13 start_date2/prec2
  • UCDP/PRIO Armed Conflict Dataset v26.1 · 1946–2025 ↗Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) · Checked 2026-10-09 · conflict_id=268; start_date2=1977-07-13; start_prec2=1; latest activity year=1978; ep_end=1; ep_end_date=1978-03-23; ep_end_prec=missing; CSV rows=867,868; activity-end and termination-outcome dates are not substituted for each other
  • UCDP/PRIO Armed Conflict Dataset Codebook v26.1 ↗Uppsala Conflict Data Program (UCDP) · Checked 2026-10-09 · pp. 9–12: conflict-year, start_date2/start_prec2; latest-year ep_end=0 means unknown next-year status; date precision codes

How to interpret this

For the 6 cases with exact dates permitting completed-duration calculation, the mean is 1,077 days and the median is 263.5 days. Newly displayed cases with uncertain dates or unconfirmed ends are excluded from these statistics. A completed-sample mean is not an expected endpoint for a current conflict.

Mean duration applies only to completed cases with exact dates and does not represent unconfirmed or date-uncertain cases. Candidates labeled “6-month minimum unconfirmed” are not cases with a verified minimum duration and are excluded from observation counts and means. Repeated episodes of the same conflict are not independent samples. Episodes represent consecutive active conflict years, not uninterrupted daily warfare. Termination dates are neither agreement-signing dates nor the start of permanent peace; conflicts may recur afterward. These data cannot predict the remaining duration of a current conflict or the probability of peace. Termination-outcome data mainly cover determinations through 2023; annual activity data extend through 2025. The verification date, 2026-10-09, is not evidence that a war currently continues. Actor and territory names quote UCDP classifications; they are not political recognition or determinations of responsibility.

Conditions, methodology and sources

Termination outcomes are determined by auditing all 614 c_epid values in UCDP Conflict Termination v4.2024002. Uses start_date2/start_prec2 in the first row and c_ependdate/c_ependprec/c_epterm/c_outcome in the last row, covering cases beginning since 1976. Termination-data precision 1 is treated as daily, 2 and 3 as monthly, and 4 and 5 as yearly ranges; 6, 7 or missing precision is not used as an exact date. PRIO26.1 code 3 can represent a month or a 30-day interval, so a conservative range encompassing both interpretations is used. The minimum duration is met when the earliest possible end is on or after the latest possible start plus 6 calendar months. Month-end dates are adjusted to the final day of the target month. Terminated cases with unclear dates remain listed but are separated as excluded with null values and omitted from day-count statistics. Only precisely dated completed cases use differences between UTC midnights, without an inclusive-endpoint adjustment. Unended and new interstate cases are matched exactly to UCDP/PRIO v26.1 using conflict_id+start_date2, without overwriting existing termination-outcome dates with differently defined PRIO activity-end dates. An ep_end=0 value in the latest year means termination in the following year is unconfirmed. Uses month 1, day 1 of the last active year as the earliest activity evidence to determine whether at least 6 months can be demonstrated; candidates lacking proof are marked excluded from duration calculation. Elapsed duration is not extended to the verification date. Sources are explicitly attributed to Kreutz(2010), Gleditsch et al.(2002), Davies·Pettersson·Öberg(2026) and the Pettersson codebook v26.1. CC BY4.0. The interstate-conflict sample uses type_of_conflict2=2 without further restrictions by termination-outcome type.