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[Lee Hyun-chul] Apartment Cycle Research InstituteNovember 1, 2026

“Homebuyers have all disappeared”: You cannot sell even if you want to. The housing-price crash has already begun | Full interview with appraiser Park Eun-jung

An independent exercise, not a statement by the video creator or verification of every claim in the video.

Cash can run short even when the home price is unchanged

Assume a KRW 500 million loan resets under its contract from 4% to 6% annually while monthly household net income falls from KRW 6 million to KRW 5 million. Interest alone rises from about KRW 1,666,667 to KRW 2.5 million per month, an increase of about KRW 833,333. Holding other monthly expenses at KRW 3 million changes the post-interest balance from about KRW 1,333,333 to negative KRW 500,000, producing a KRW 6 million cumulative shortfall over 12 months. The calculation shows why a stable or rising home price cannot immediately cover the gap when a sale takes longer.

Check for yourself

  1. How does the shortfall change after including the actual reset date and principal repayments?
  2. Have available cash during a delayed sale and any deposits due for return in the same period been calculated separately?

Limits of application

This is a hypothetical calculation, not an actual borrower’s case or a rate forecast. It compares interest alone and excludes principal repayments, taxes, one-off expenses and additional borrowing, so it is not an actual loan-payment schedule. The same reset shock does not apply to a loan fixed until maturity.

What to look for
Follow how a bearish housing interview connects borrowing, sales, jeonse deposits and redevelopment cash flows.
Why it matters
Separate asset valuations from available cash and calculate funding needs when income declines, rates reset, sales take longer and deposits fall due, alongside total reconstruction costs.

Timeline

9 segments
  1. The discussion separates an increase in a home’s quoted value from finding an actual buyer and receiving cash when needed. The guest sees purchasing-fund and credit constraints as downside risks, but weak individual transactions do not establish a certain crash in every region.

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Educational information only; not investment advice.