Al SangmuOctober 5, 2026

This week's strategy [Indicator Tracker]

What to look for
You can check the figures and chart positions for the first week's indicators in October (month 10)—investor flows, KOSPI, KOSDAQ, NASDAQ, interest rates, exchange rates, crude oil, and gold—as well as this week's scheduled events, including Samsung's preliminary earnings and US Treasury auctions.
Why it matters
This helps you learn a practical framework for tracking indicators: what evidence is used to connect directional forecasts for individual indicators and translate them into a weekly trading range and cash allocation.

Executive Director Al reviews the weekly Indicator Tracker on the market holiday of October (month 10) 5, incorporating US data through Friday and Japanese data through that day. He reports that, amid cumulative foreign net selling of 202 trillion won over 2 years, Samsung and Hynix share buybacks absorbed shares sold by retail investors, while the KOSPI fell 73 points over the week and repeatedly encountered resistance at the 7,000 level. He describes Thursday's KOSDAQ surge as an opportunistic raid on a thinly occupied market and an expectations-driven rise, and attributes the NASDAQ's all-time high and the Nikkei's strength to AI expectations and efforts to enhance corporate value. Citing WTI in the 90-dollar range, a surge in diesel prices, the dollar at 1,343 won, and nominal growth of 9~10%, he assesses inflationary and monetary-tightening pressures. He reports an all-time high of 5.27% for the US 10-year Treasury yield, caution ahead of Wednesday and Thursday auctions, a decline in Korean 3-year yields, and aversion to European bonds, and explains the pathway from employment through insurance to bond purchases. Ahead of Samsung's preliminary earnings on Thursday, with expectations of 103~105 trillion won, he frames the undervaluation debate as a confrontation between the market and research reports, noting that the moving average is flat and stalled with Samsung at 27.6 ten-thousand won. He sets this week's trading range at 6,753~7,200 and says he will reduce cash holdings to 40% by buying a 5% allocation to the index, presenting his outlook in a table checking logical consistency. All directional forecasts are the speaker's conditional assessments, not definitive predictions of short-term prices.

Timeline

10 segments

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Educational information only; not investment advice.