Indicator Tracker (1111 Wed)
An independent exercise, not a statement by the video creator or verification of every claim in the video.
A partial realized gain differs from the total account return
Suppose 100 shares are bought at 100 per share. Selling 50 shares at 110 realizes a gain of 500 and produces cash of 5,500. If the remaining 50 shares fall to 90, their value is 4,500, so cash plus shares equals 10,000. This equals the initial 10,000 investment, making the total account gain 0. Record the fact of a partial sale during a rebound separately from the conclusion that total wealth increased.
Check for yourself
- How would recording both gains and declines in the retained position help compare the effects of partial sales?
- When comparing a forecast with the actual outcome, have you separated information available at the sale from information learned later?
Limits of application
This hypothetical calculation uses consistent units and omits fees, taxes, dividends and interest on cash. It does not establish that partial sales are optimal or verify actual returns described in the video. The linked historical rebound does not identify a current market bottom or rebound timing.
- What to look for
- Examine how flows, volume, yields and currencies are compared before treating a rebound day as a trend reversal, and how a response changes when prior expectations prove wrong.
- Why it matters
- Separate realized gains from total account performance and review hindsight confidence by recording the original evidence, contrary signals and conditions for revision.
Timeline
9 segmentsRsangmoo compares actual moves with his earlier plans, identifying misses in the expected decline, sale timing and exchange-rate outlook. He intends to reconsider holdings and cash plans as new information arrives rather than keeping a forecast fixed. A few forecast misses do not establish the end of a weak market, and a goal of frequent small gains does not guarantee repeated profits without losses.