PLUS TV (Plus TV)September 30, 2026

Between the United States and China, what kind of strategic card are Korea's semiconductors?

What to look for
You can check the US–China summit remarks, the Micron GP benchmark, the October (month 10) checkpoints, and remarks in the debate over SK reaching 250 ten-thousand won.
Why it matters
This helps explain how the AI paradox, interest-rate control, and the logic of a new type of major-power relationship connect to judgments about semiconductors as a strategic card.

The teaser for a commute-home discussion featuring Shuka, Kim Jang-yeol, and Executive Al previews remarks at the US–China summit about the coexistence of the Chinese Dream and MAGA, Japan being sidelined, and how everything ultimately comes back to semiconductors. As semiconductors plunge 4~5% during recording, they discuss rationalizing a decline within 5%. In keyword ①, Center Director Kim Jang-yeol argues that moderating the pace of development increases usage and semiconductor demand through a Jevons-style AI paradox, citing the Astra, Opus, Muse, and Grok pipelines. They cover Meta's Muse device, human-in-the-loop, an alliance of 30, and blocking Amazon, and discuss Korean semiconductor underperformance (single-digit PER versus CPO multiples of 40~80), platform threats, and the debate over fraud. In keyword ②, Executive Al characterizes rate increases by the Fed, globally, and in Korea as interest-rate control, citing inflation, lunch prices, and hyperscalers' stockpiling. He warns about token growth of 300% over 2 years and 15~20 times, infrastructure shortages, and a breakdown in the temperature gap between hot AI and cold non-AI. In keyword ③, they recount the Macron and Netanyahu scenes at the UN General Assembly, an age of power, and the Security Council's ineffectiveness, interpreting Xi Jinping's Chinese Dream and MAGA remarks as a new type of major-power relationship and divide-and-rule. Moving through the Western Hemisphere thesis, Taiwan, Takaichi's bewilderment, and a friendship forged in blood, they see Taiwanese and Korean semiconductors as critical cards within 5~6 years. Their short-term outlook proposes waiting until mid-October (month 10), avoiding FOMO, checking whether Micron's GP moves from 84.9 to 86~87, holding existing positions, and entering new positions in stages. All directional outlooks are the speakers' conditional judgments, not definitive short-term price predictions.

Timeline

8 segments

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