He diagnoses today as an AI-wide selloff whose essence is a financial problem. He reports the Dow -0.34% and the S&P -1.09% while the Nasdaq -2.15% and chips -3.83% across AI. He reads the Nasdaq falling further than the Russell 2000, -1.63%, as tech financing fears rather than a rate problem. He cites 6600 hundred-million-dollar Oracle and 1600 hundred-million-dollar CoreWeave backlogs, explaining phantom demand piling through over-ordering in shortages. He notes the Philadelphia chip index fell 9 straight sessions for the first time in 20 years, with Korea already at July (month 7) lows. He warns neocloud CDS premium spikes push funding rates into the 9% range. He names unlisted AI data-center demand as the price driver, flagging Anthropic's listing and the midterms' end as variables. All directional outlooks are the speaker's conditional judgments and do not confirm any short-term price forecast.

Market Protractor TV

The AI Selloff and Core Thesis

The Russell Flip, Backlogs, and Phantom Demand

Neocloud Debt and the CDS Warning

Unlisted-AI Demand and Variables

Psychology, Oil, Rates, and Close

[October (month 10) 17 Saturday US Market Brief] Is an AI-Driven Credit Crisis Coming?

DB Securities strategist Moon Hongchul frames the trigger and rebound terms of a market tougher than July (month 7) with a match and gasoline analogy. He links the CoreWeave default risk and 10 year Treasury spread widening from 50 bp to 200 bp with foreign selling since the end of September (month 9). He calls the 5 percent debate a hedge fund scheme and reads short covering at minus 2 sigma plus falling rates on bad news as the end of weakness. He criticizes Fed judgment and data dependence and sees the allocation rotation lasting 2 to 3 months. His stability gauges are a narrower CoreWeave CDS, 10 year notes at 4.8 percent, defending the July (month 7) low and divided government after the midterms. He rebuts AI led growth with a GDP chart and says to follow the leading rooms over facts. He sets 1320 won this year and 1250 won next year on exports and explains Korea's structural heavier hit. All directional views are the speakers' conditional judgments and do not confirm any short term price forecast.

SamproTV 3PROTV

Why do foreigners dump Korean chips? What a rebound needs | Moon Hongchul, DB Securities asset strategy head [Weekend Interview]

Insight30 reads the US midterm board amid high price public anger. It covers all 435 House seats up, a ruling party verdict setup, 39 percent approval and hopes for a war end. It explains 2024 comeback fuel in inflation and COVID cash splashes, flipped by the Iran war and Hormuz. It details the 4 dollar a gallon last line with a war lacking exits, plus 225 House seats and a 50 to 50 Senate outlook. It sorts chamber mix scenarios with the 67 vote impeachment wall and late price and diplomacy moves. All directional views are the speakers' conditional judgments and do not confirm any short term price forecast.

Yonhap News Economy TV

'High prices are Trump's fault': uneasy US public mood | Insight30

Recording on October (month 10) 14, the day after a sell-sidecar halt, he sees the KOSPI 6000 battle as a staged-buying phase from the prior day. He argues for buying both extremes, pairing 2028 growers with cheap large caps. He says the market has moved past disappointment into doubt, when swelling questions over AI payback sow rally seeds. He flags the EPS-chasing trap, diagnosing an excessive-discount phase from hyperscaler FCF deficits and a higher discount rate. He warns against mechanical repetition of rates and history, citing 1998, 2022, and 2002 to 2007 cases. He stresses PER is a function of growth, urging checks on margin durability and shareholder returns over cheap multiples. He cites mechanical foreign selling and Korean governance doubts, urging buying at prices worth holding rather than after confirmation. All directional outlooks are the speaker's conditional judgments and do not confirm any short-term price forecast.

The Word to Survive a Hellish KOSPI: 'Both Extremes' | Economic Commentator Yoon Ji-ho [Weekend Interview]

He reports a week of sell-sidecars, circuit breakers, and closes below July (month 7), urging data-driven responses. He says 1970s oil-shock experience shows most-fallen names rebound hardest in disinflation. He sees AI funding fears, with CoreWeave yields from 9 to 15%, excessively priced, hitting concentrated Korea harder. He cites Samsung Electronics' 107 trillion-won quarterly operating profit, urging contrarian stances over inflection calls. He expects a disinflation turn on the 2022 CPI peak of 9.1% precedent plus first-half base effects. He calls below-KOSPI 6000 a deep-value staged-buying zone after the Bollinger lower-band break. He expects Korea to rise fastest on the fall versus 6900 intrinsic value plus multiple-recovery room. All directional outlooks are the speaker's conditional judgments and do not confirm any short-term price forecast.

Korean Stocks Fell the Most but Will Rise the Fastest (Seong Sang-hyeon) | Infomax Live 261016

Kim Dante asks whether AI stocks are really over and what a rebound needs, zeroing in on the CoreWeave driven crisis. He reports a 1.5 percent Nasdaq fall and KOSPI breakdown tangled with Kevin remarks, oil and 10 year notes. He cites the Gerstner exit, founder cashing of 5 trillion won and Deutsche Bank's funding shortfall case behind CoreWeave's 11 percent plunge. He relays memory chain fears with KOSPI futures down 1.42 percent and the GPU rental paradox. He reads the CXMT surprise and Anthropic's lower IPO as blows. He sets visible hyperscaler profits or rate stability as rebound terms in this game of nerves. All directional views are the speakers' conditional judgments and do not confirm any short term price forecast.

Tomorrow's Investing King - Kim Dante

Are AI stocks done now?

On Infomax Live, Kim Minsu, Seo Yongwon and Lee Jinwoo discuss responses after 7 straight down days and the July (month 7) trauma. They review the Nasdaq 55 month line rebound, Goldman tech fund losses and the Philadelphia Semiconductor contrast, plus Korea's July (month 7) low test and a double bottom scenario. They treat chips as a sale to stockpile while watching defense and parts makers, checking the KOSDAQ 780 line and biotech bounce. They report broken sentiment despite Hyundai Motor's 0.64 times PBR, foreign trillion won scale dumping, box breakdowns and strategic selling. They stress cutting when the box breaks and separating trading from stockpiling. They explain 97 trillion won in deposits, 33 trillion won in margin, the opening auction limit down pattern and half past 2 futures and CFT flows. They advise watching next week through a one week gap until big tech earnings from October (month 10) 28 and cover the memory pounding, the dip below 5200 debate, FX losses, SK Innovation and shippers. All directional views are the speakers' conditional judgments and do not confirm any short term price forecast.

No more fear from here...? (Kim Minsu, Seo Yongwon, Lee Jinwoo) | Infomax Live 261016

He says after a weekly long black candle and 3 days of capitulation selling into a Friday lower wick, the market never lets would-be cheaper buyers back in. He stresses the historical pattern that midterm and Iran war fears pass without touching big-tech earnings like Nvidia and Apple, with stocks rising after elections. He advises beginners to hold 30 to 50% cash in index ETFs bought in 5% steps, expecting stocks to rise as rates fall from an S&P 500 PER of 19. He presents a viewer-count fear-gauge idea plus Buffett and Ramsey's long-term goals and consistency principles. He reports margin loans of 33 trillion plus 7 thousand hundred-million won and 129 hundred-million won in forced sales, warning of a forced-selling domino. He goes half-and-half on chips, negative on commodity names citing the 2018 profit-collapse precedent amid an artificial supply-cut versus demand debate, positive on HBM. He expects the market not to fall back to prior lows, citing PBR and book-value floors. All directional outlooks are the speaker's conditional judgments and do not confirm any short-term price forecast.

Chesley TV

When You Try to Buy Cheaper, the Market Gives No Chance | Chesley Investment Advisory Executive Director Park Se-ik [Wamaesinbak / 26.10.16 Fri]

Song Teamjang reviews his account and the US plunge, then maps foreign selling and debt fueled structure. He reports Nasdaq100 down 2.5 percent with CoreWeave down 12 percent and 10 year notes stuck at 5.1 percent. He explains October (month 10) 15 foreign selling of 3 trillion 8 thousand hundred-million won, CDS driven ruin fears, 40 trillion won of margin and surging small holders. He covers fund leverage with VARA 44 percent loss rumors and the case for Nasdaq100 indexing. He works through 10 year 5.3 percent against 19 times PER for 5.26 percent, the 2 times expected PPI shock and money rotation. He answers the pleading junior with Howard Marks on preparation plus rules, time and spare cash. All directional views are the speakers' conditional judgments and do not confirm any short term price forecast.

[October (month 10) 17 Saturday US Market Brief] Is an AI-Driven Credit Crisis Coming?

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